Monday, April 1, 2019

D-Street Buzz: Nifty Realty outshines led by DLF; Dish TV rallies, Khadim zooms 17%

Benchmark indices have added half a percent each in this afternoon session with Nifty50 up 62 points, trading at 11,507 and Sensex adding 183 points, trading at 38,316.

Nifty Media along with Nifty Realty are the top performing sectors led by Dish TV that spiked 6 percent followed by Zee Entertainment, INOX Leisure, Sun TV Network, PVR, TV Today and EROS International Media.

From the real estate space, the top gainers are Phoenix Mills, Unitech, Godrej Properties, DLF, Oberoi Realty, Prestige Estates and Indiabulls Real Estate.

PSU banks are also buzzing led by Bank of Baroda, Syndicate Bank, Union Bank of India, Indian Bank, Canara Bank and Bank of India.

related news Bank Nifty jumps 25% in 5 months, propels Nifty higher Suzlon falls 2% after selling two subsidiaries D-Street Buzz: Banks race ahead as ICICI Bank hits record high; Zee Ent spikes 4%

Selective IT stocks are also buzzing led by HCL Tech, Infosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra and Wipro.

From the FMCG space, the top gainers are ITC, GSK Consumer, Dabur India, Emami, Marico and Tata Global Beverage.

From the BSE midcap space, the top gainers are DHFL that jumped 10 percent followed by Central Bank of India, Godrej Properties, GMR Infra and Edelweiss Financial.

The top smallcap gainers are Khadim which zoomed 17 percent followed by Indiabulls Ventures, Panacea Biotech and Apex Frozen.

The top Nifty gainers include HCL Tech, Adani Ports, Indiabulls Housing, Zee Entertainment and Sun Pharma while ONGC, Hindalco Industries, Power Grid, Dr Reddy's Labs and Bajaj Auto slipped.

The most active stocks are YES Bank, DHFL, State Bank of India and Reliance Industries.

Bata India, Capri Global, JB Chemicals, Muthoot Finance, Pidilite Industries, RBL Bank, Titan Company and Spacenet Enterprises have hit 52-week high on NSE.

The breadth of the market favoured the advances with 1,128 stocks advancing and 554 declining while 404 remained unchanged. On the BSE, 1,547 stocks advanced, 829 declined and 121 remained unchanged.

Disclosure: Reliance Industries Ltd. is the sole beneficiary of Independent Media Trust which controls Network18 Media & Investments Ltd.

  First Published on Mar 28, 2019 01:28 pm

Sunday, March 31, 2019

Here are the biggest analyst calls of the day: Wells Fargo, Comcast, Spotify & more

Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Friday:

Deutsche Bank downgraded Wells Fargo to 'hold' from 'buy'

Deutsche said Wells Fargo earnings could be lower than expected in the medium-term.

"Cost saving targets will likely be re-evaluated by a new CEO. While we still see opportunity for meaningful reductions over time, the timing may be pushed out and there may be offsets (such as higher investment spend in technology, for example). Changes to the business model could reduce revenue (and earnings). For example, a new CEO may choose to exit or reduce some areas in an attempt to simplify the company (as we've seen other large banks do post crisis). Note that WFC has already done some of this and one could argue there was less need to simplify/de-risk given strong relative performance during the 2008/09 financial crisis. Any revenue loss would be at least partially offset by cost take out and freeing up of capital, but there may be a net drag to earnings (and/or delay in redeploying the capital, taking out the costs, etc). Near-term revenue may suffer from uncertainty surrounding new leadership and potential changes coming, in our view. Some current earnings at WFC are running off with the passage of time, but a new CEO may make these items more transparent and separate from the ongoing earnings power of the bank. These include $1.1b of purchase accounting accretion in 2018 and earnings from legacy assets that are being run off (such as WFC financial mortgages and securities purchased during the financial crisis)."

Raymond James upgraded Wells Fargo to 'market perform' from 'underperform'

Raymond James is concerned about declining revenue but said the leadership change is a positive move.

"We believe the move is a positive step, which will improve investor sentiment and reduce regulatory scrutiny, as the bank searches outside the company for a successor. However, our enthusiasm is tempered by still inferior fundamental performance, as we expect revenue to decline again in 2019; current EPS estimates to be revised lower; and profitability metrics to remain below-peer. Our suitability rating on WFC is Medium Risk/Growth."

RBC downgraded Comcast to 'sector perform' from 'outperform'

RBC is concerned about the acceleration of cord cutting and household growth slowing down. (Comcast is the parent organization of CNBC.)

"We're taking a more cautious view on Cable sector fundamentals and lower expectations for broadband and video subscribers. Applying a more modest target multiple drops our target price to $42. In light of our tempered view and the strong share price run, we downgrade Comcast to Sector Perform."

J.P. Morgan lowered its price target on Tesla to $215 from $230

J.P. Morgan is concerned about the impact of delays in the shipping of Tesla Model 3's in China and Europe.

"We are lowering our estimate of 1Q18 deliveries, following reports of delays in shipping Model 3s to customers in Europe and China and given emphasis in our meeting regarding the already planned back-end-loaded nature of 1Q deliveries, suggesting increased susceptibility of even modest delays to have a disproportionately material impact on 1Q financials. With that said, we have been consistently positioned below the Street relative to our estimates, and so we find that relatively little adjustment is likely needed in comparison to recent changes in consensus estimates. Furthermore, we had already been positioned for a GAAP loss in 1Q, consistent with Tesla's intra-quarter update that it was likely to report a GAAP loss in 1Q vs. indication earlier that it could report a small profit. Our estimate of 1Q Model 3 deliveries declines to 50,000 from 55,000 prior (and vs. current consensus of 54,590, as per the company), total deliveries go to 70,500 from 75,500 prior (vs. consensus 74,930), and adjusted EPS to $0.38 from $0.94 prior. Full-year 2019 goes to$4.25 from $4.50 and 2020 to $6.75 from $7.00 Our December 2019 price target falls to $215 from $230 prior on our lower estimates."

Credit Suisse initiated Spotify as 'underperform'

Credit Suisse believes expectations are too high for revenue and subscriber growth.

"We initiate coverage of streaming music leader Spotify with an underperform rating and a $120 target price. While we expect significant subscriber (subs) and revenue growth for SPOT, we believe consensus multi-year expectations for its subs and margins are too high and see risk as ongoing battles over content costs support concerns around Spotify's profit potential."

Piper Jaffray upgraded F5 Networks to 'neutral' from 'underweight'

PiperJaffray says long term concerns remain but valuation is "reasonable."

"We are revisiting our prior underweight thesis and are upgrading our rating of F5 Networks to Neutral. However, we remain concerned around some of the longer-term dynamics, including F5's dependency on on-premise application delivery controller's, the competition, and further risk to FY19-FY20 estimates. We view the current valuation as reasonable and reflecting some of these longer-term risks, presenting a more balanced risk-reward profile than six months ago. While we are upgrading shares to Neutral and raising our price target to $163 on a slightly higher multiple, we are continuing to recommend our pair-trade idea of Akamai and F5 Networks."

Deutsche Bank downgraded Restoration Hardware to 'hold' from 'buy'

Deutsche still likes Restoration Hardware long term but thinks that the macro environment and general market volatility make it difficult to own the stock right now.

"While we continue to believe in the long-term prospects for RH and acknowledge that it is one of the few retailers growing sales, margins, profit dollars and earnings, we think the market volatility means now is not the time to continue to own the stock. Estimates are coming down as RH's high-end, highly discretionary product falls victim to signs of a slowing economy and stock market gyrations and weakness in high-end housing trends. In this environment, sales and profit trends have become increasingly difficult to predict for RH. Thus, with signs that the U.S. economy remains strong, but slowing, we think that not only do estimates need to come down but our target multiple does as well as investors pay less for uncertainty. The stock significantly outperformed both the market and retail in 2018 and has been slightly better than the XRT prior to this report in 2019 as well. But, we think it will have trouble rebounding until we are once again in an upward revision cycle and that may not happen until the economy is on stronger footing. And even then, it will probably take a few quarters or more of better results to convince investors that the volatility has settled down."

Saturday, March 30, 2019

The Price Of A Gold Shares ETF And The Price Of Gold Stocks: Trending Up

&l;p&g;&l;img class=&q;dam-image bloomberg size-large wp-image-34074989&q; src=&q;https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/dam/imageserve/34074989/960x0.jpg?fit=scale&q; data-height=&q;640&q; data-width=&q;960&q;&g; Photographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg

Six months ago, at the beginning of October, 2018, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond sat at 3.2%.

The price of the &l;a href=&q;https://us.spdrs.com/en/etf/spdr-gold-shares-GLD&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;SPDR gold shares ETF&l;/a&g;&a;nbsp; -- a proxy for the gold price -- was 112.

Today, the 10-year rate is 2.39%, quite a drop in the return of the government&s;s most watched paper.

And, right now, the price of those gold shares is 121, a nice gain for those holding the NYSE-listed precious metal ETF.

Many explanations exist for this relationship, but the most basic is that lower rates designed to pump growth also give rise to concerns about the inflation that often accompanies such growth.

So, those investors who&s;ve been around and seen a few of these economic cycles, begin to pick up gold, the old inflation hedge that never goes away.

So, if rates continue to fall...does the hedge continue to rise?

These charts are designed to show where this trend might be headed and where the support and resistance levels might exist. I&s;ll start with the precious metal itself and then take a look at a few stocks 0f&a;nbsp; companies that mine the stuff.

Here&s;s the daily price chart for gold:

&l;img class=&q;size-full wp-image-5275&q; src=&q;http://blogs-images.forbes.com/johnnavin/files/2019/03/GLD-daily-3-28-19.jpg?width=960&q; alt=&q;&q; data-height=&q;928&q; data-width=&q;1240&q;&g; GLD SPDR ETF daily price chart.

The clear rise in price from August, 2018 to February, 2019 follows the drop-off in interest rates over that same period. You can see that the gold ETF has managed to stay above the up trending &l;a href=&q;https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:ichimoku_cloud&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Ichimoku cloud&l;/a&g; since it crossed over in October.

Right now, price is testing the uptrend by consolidating with a drop that almost takes it below the cloud again: below the 121 level would begin to call into question whether the gains can be held. A move above the 127 high, on the other hand, would tend to confirm the continuation of the rally.

Here&s;s the weekly chart:

&l;img class=&q;size-full wp-image-5277&q; src=&q;http://blogs-images.forbes.com/johnnavin/files/2019/03/GLD-weekly-3-28-19.jpg?width=960&q; alt=&q;&q; data-height=&q;928&q; data-width=&q;1240&q;&g; GLD SPDR ETF weekly price chart.

From a pure technical analysis perspective, this is a classic triangle pattern: it&s;s winding up for a big move in one direction or the other. That&s;s the wisdom. If accurate, then resistance may be that slight downtrend line connecting the 2016 high at 131 with the early 2018 peaks at just above 129. A close above that line might be significant.

Also significant would be a close below the line connecting the late 2015 lows with the late 2018 lows. Such a pattern would negate the uptrend now in place.

Here&s;s the daily chart of a widely traded NYSE-listed gold mining stock:

&l;img class=&q;size-full wp-image-5281&q; src=&q;http://blogs-images.forbes.com/johnnavin/files/2019/03/GG-daily-3-28-19.jpg?width=960&q; alt=&q;&q; data-height=&q;744&q; data-width=&q;990&q;&g; Goldcorp daily price chart.

The upward trending movement of Goldcorp is benefiting from both the rise in the price of gold and the rise in stocks in general. It&s;s above the trend line and above the &l;a href=&q;https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:ichimoku_cloud&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Ichimoku cloud&l;/a&g;. Note that the stock is susceptible to volatility: that October, 2018 drop -- with the huge gap down -- took the price rapidly from 11 to 8.5. That &q;gaps get filled&q; -- a technical analysis maxim -- is demonstrated within less than 3 months.

And here&s;s the daily price of a different precious metals equity:

&l;img class=&q;size-full wp-image-5282&q; src=&q;http://blogs-images.forbes.com/johnnavin/files/2019/03/AEM-daily-3-28-19.jpg?width=960&q; alt=&q;&q; data-height=&q;744&q; data-width=&q;990&q;&g; Agnico Eagle Mines daily price chart.

Agnico Eagle Mines is another NYSE-traded gold miner benefiting, generally, from higher metals prices and from higher stock market action. It&s;s well above the uptrend line and above the &l;a href=&q;https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:ichimoku_cloud&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Ichimoku cloud&l;/a&g;. Should a sell-off arise, then perhaps that gap in price 39.5 to 40 from January might be a target.

&l;em&g;I do not hold positions in these investments.&a;nbsp;No recommendations are made one way or the other.&a;nbsp;&a;nbsp;If you&s;re an investor, you&s;d want to look much deeper into each of these situations. You can lose money trading or investing in stocks and other instruments. Always do your own independent research, due diligence and seek professional advice from a licensed investment advisor.&l;/em&g;&l;/p&g;

Friday, March 29, 2019

ADT's Operational Moves And De-Levering Will Lead To Profitability

Overview and Thesis

ADT Inc. (ADT) recently reported Q4 2018 and full year earnings on March 11, 2019. The company reported a loss on GAAP basis, missed consensus estimates of $0.13 per share and provided weak EBITDA guidance. The stock price fell over 15% in response and is now testing its lows. Notably, the stock price is down over 55% from its IPO price in January 2018.

In my earlier article I wrote about how the company was making the right moves and was undervalued. But I identified the main risk, as the company's return to profitability takes longer than expected. In fact, based on Q4 2018 earnings, that is largely what happened. However, I still believe that ADT continues to make the right moves and is undervalued despite the poor reception by the market on the recent earnings release.

Overall the company is experiencing revenue growth organically and through acquisitions. ADT is also improving on many core operational metrics. In addition, a key development occurred one week after the earnings release when the company announced that a tender offer and conditional notice of redemption for up to $2,246M of the 9.25% Second Priority Senior Secured Notes due in 2023. The debt refinancing will lower interest expense by a meaningful amount and push maturities out by several years. The company is now better positioned for growth and return to sustained profitability without the overhang of significant debt maturities. In this article I discuss how ADT's actions will lead the company back to profitability. I also provide valuation estimates that show the company is likely undervalued and there is a 56% - 71% upside.

ADT Yard Sign Source: adt.com

Revenue Grew and Operational Metrics Improved In 2018

ADT is performing well from an operational perspective since its IPO. Revenue increased by 6% to $4,482M in 2018 from $4,316M in 2017 as seen in the chart below. Sales benefitted from higher monitoring & service revenue and higher installation revenue. This led to a 4% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $2,453M in 2018 from $2,353M in 2017. Adjusted net income also increased to $657M in 2018 from $519M in 2017. Furthermore, attrition continues its downward trend decreasing from 13.7% in 2017 to 13.3% in 2018. The company is also becoming more efficient in acquiring customers and the customer revenue payback metric is down to 2.4X in 2018 from 2.5X in 2017. A decline of 0.1X represents roughly $60M in annual savings. Free cash flow also increased 33% before special items. But notably, diluted EPS was down and showed a loss of ($0.81) in 2018 from a profit of $0.53 in 2017.

ADT 2018 Selected Financial and Operational Metrics

ADT 2018 Selected Financial and Operational Metrics Source: ADT Q4 2018 Earnings Presentation

Special Items Have Impacted Earnings

Let's examine ADT's consolidated statement of operations, see below, and see how they impacted earnings. Three one time items stand out that are (1) the loss on extinguishment of debt in 2018 (circled in red), (2) income tax benefit in 2017 (circled in blue) and (3) goodwill impairment (circled in green). In 2018, ADT redeemed $750M in preferred notes early in 2018. This action has a future benefit of reducing cash flow requirements. But at the same time ADT had to pay a redemption premium and accumulated dividend of $213M to extinguish this debt. This is a large amount relative to the value of preferred notes and negatively impacted earnings in 2018. The company also needed to pay a call premium and write-off a portion of the unamortized deferred financing costs of $63M for the redeemed $594M of Second Priority Senior Secured Notes (Second Lien Notes). This too was a large amount. In 2018, the total cost for early redemption was $275M, which was an expense not present in 2017.

In 2017, ADT received a tax benefit of $764M due to the U.S Tax Cut and Jobs Act. This was not present in 2018. The full year 2018 results were also impacted by $88M in good will impairment (circled in green) related to the Canada reporting unit. This impairment loss was not present in 2017 and accounted for about ($0.12) loss in Q4 2018. After accounting for special items ADT showed an improvement on year-over-year basis as the loss went from ($0.35) in 2017 to ($0.16) in 2018.

ADT Consolidated Statement of Operations Source: ADT Q4 2018 And 2018 Full Year Earnings Release

It is likely that special items will impact ADT's earning in 2019 but the dollar value will be lower than in 2018. The company is aggressively paying down the Second Lien Notes and there will be a redemption premium associated with this action. The company already redeemed $300M of notes and paid $19M in premium. ADT is redeeming $1,000M of the remaining $2,246 Second Lien Notes. This will likely have a repayment premium of roughly $60M using the earlier repayment as a benchmark. So losses from debt extinguishment totals approximately $79M to date, a large number, but still almost $200M less than in 2018.

Debt Refinancing Will Reduce Interest Expense

In addition to redeeming $1,000M of the remaining $2,246 Second Lien Notes, the company will repay off $500M of outstanding term loans. The redeemed debt will be replaced with $750M in 5.25% First Priority Senior Secured Notes due in 2024 and 5.75% First Priority Senior Secured Notes due in 2026. This has the effect of pushing out existing debt maturities in 2022 and 2023. The chart below shows the debt maturities at end of 2018 and already excludes the $300M repayment of part of the Second Lien. The large cash flow requirement in 2022 will be reduced by $500M. Notably, the term loan notes are floating rate as it is indexed to LIBOR + 2.75% (roughly 5.6% using the 1-year LIBOR). The cash flow requirements in 2023 will be reduced by $1,000M and this debt has a 9.25% rate.

ADT Pro Forma Debt Maturity Profile At End of 2018

ADT Debt Maturity Profile Source: ADT Q4 2018 Earnings Presentation

In addition to pushing maturities out, the large debt repayments will lead to significantly lower interest expense in 2019. In 2017, interest expense was $733M and this dropped to $663M in 2018. Actions this year will further reduce interest expense. The $300M redemption of the 9.25% notes will lower interest expense by another $28M. The redemption of $1,000M of 9.25% notes and reissue at $750M of 5.25% notes and $250M of 5.75% notes will reduce interest rates by almost $39M. However, there is no interest expense savings on replacing the floating rate term loans with 5.75% notes. Hence, ADT should save about $67M in interest expense in 2019 relative to 2018.

Will ADT Be Profitable In 2019?

ADT provided total revenue guidance of $4,900M - $5,100M representing an increase of 6% - 11% through a combination of growth in monitoring and service and commercial expansion. The company is forecasting flat customer acquisition costs compared with 2018 and lower customer attrition to 13.2% - 12.8%. But saying that, the company did not provide an earnings estimate for 2019.

Let's use their total revenue estimates and my above estimate for losses due to debt extinguishment and reduction in interest expenses to see if ADT will be profitable in 2019. In 2019, we assume costs will remain flattish to slightly increasing with 2018, no merger related costs and no goodwill impairment. We also assume no income tax benefit for simplicity. We assume no change in the number of diluted shares. We use the low end of the total revenue range provided by ADT as the bearish case, the high end of the range as the bullish case and the midpoint as base case.

Bearish, Base and Bullish Earnings Estimates for ADT in 2019

Bearish

Base

Bullish

Total Revenue

$4,900

$5,000

$5,100

Cost of Revenue

$1,050

$1,050

$1,050

Selling, general and administrative expenses

$1,250

$1,250

$1,250

Depreciation and intangible asset amortization

$1,950

$1,950

$1,950

Merger, restructuring, integration, and other

--

--

--

Goodwill impairment

--

--

--

Operating Income

$650

$750

$850

Interest Expense, net

($596)

($596)

($596)

Loss on extinguishment of debt

($79)

($79)

($79)

Other (expense) income

$15

$15

$15

Loss Before Income Taxes

($10)

$90

$190

Income tax benefit

--

--

--

Net (loss) income

($10)

$90

$190

Net (loss) income per share

Diluted

($0.01)

$0.12

$0.25

Weighted-average number of shares

Diluted

748

748

748

Source: Dividend Power Calculations and data from ADT Q4 2018 And 2018 Full Year Earnings Release

One can see that there is a wide range of outcomes from a slight loss in the bearish case to a decent profit per share in the bullish case. Debt extinguishment and high interest expenses are still affecting ADT. After subtracting out expenses related to extinguishment of debt then the company earns $0.09 to $0.36 per share. Even though interest expenses are falling, they are still high for a company the size of ADT.

Notably, even my bullish earnings estimates in 2019 are lower than the consensus estimates provided in Seeking Alpha of $0.85 - $0.95. I believe that my estimates are conservative and I have accounted for lack of current profitability, time needed to de-lever, and the short time since the IPO and the lack of EPS guidance from ADT's management.

Risks

I see 2019 as a transition year as ADT expands in the commercial sector. The main risk here is that the company cannot execute well and the return to profitability gets pushed into 2020. The company's Canadian operations continue to be drag on revenue. Hence, ADT took goodwill impairment in 2018 negatively impacting profitability. The company has not yet outlined steps to either turn around revenue growth or divest the Canadian unit. The U.S. Residential business was losing customers but the attrition rate is slowly decreasing due to customer service improvements and increased penetration of ADT Pulse. The chart below shows the improvement. The company must add customers instead of relying only on price increases to generate revenue growth for this part of the business. ADT's focus on the next generation ADT Command and Control product and the recent acquisition of LifeShield for the do-it-yourself market should help in this regard.

ADT U.S. Residential Unit Loss Trend Source: ADT Q4 2018 Earnings Presentation

Valuation

Valuing a non-profitable and highly leveraged company is a difficult exercise. Since the company is not profitable and future earnings are uncertain I have now decided to use a multiple based on revenue. A close competitor to ADT is Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM), which had total revenue in 2018 of $420.5M and currently has a market capitalization of $2.97B giving it a multiple of ~7.0X. But Alarm.com is profitable, has little debt and is growing revenue faster than ADT at a rate of roughly 20% in 2018 albeit off a lower revenue base. If we use a discounted multiple of 3.5X for ADT accounting for the slower revenue growth rate, lack of profitability and higher leverage then we get a value per share in the table below for the bearish case, base case, and bullish case.

ADT Valuation Estimate Based On Revenue Multiple Comps

Bearish

Base

Bullish

2019E Revenue

$4,900

$5,000

$5,100

Applicable Multiple

3.5

3.5

3.5

EV

$17,150

$17,500

$17,850

Less: Net Debt

$9,926

$9,926

$9,926

Equity Value

$7,224

$7,574

$7,924

Shares Outstanding

748

748

748

Value Per Share

$9.66

$10.13

$10.59

Upside from Current Price

55.52%

63.05%

70.59%

Source: Dividend Power calculations based on data in ADT Q4 2018 Earnings Presentation

Notably, this valuation is sensitive to the selected multiple. Below I show a sensitivity analysis for my readers who believe that a different discounted multiple is applicable. The main point here is that the stock is currently trading at a multiple roughly between 2.5X and 3.0X, which is significantly less than competitor Alarm.com.

ADT Valuation Sensitivity

Bearish

Base

Bullish

3.0X

$6.38

$6.78

$7.18

3.5X

$9.66

$10.13

$10.59

4.0X

$12.93

$13.47

$14.00

4.5X

$16.21

$16.81

$17.41

5.0X

$19.48

$20.15

$20.82

Source: Dividend Power calculations based on data in ADT Q4 2018 Earnings Presentation

The valuation estimates may well be low if ADT continues to grow revenue from organic growth and acquisitions over the next several years. I believe that if ADT is successful in commercial expansion and returns the U.S. Residential business to unit growth then valuations may be higher than I forecast. Furthermore, my valuation estimates does not even account from any upside in growth from the announced partnership with Amazon that lacks details or from future debt reductions.

Final Thoughts

Although the company is still heavily leveraged and not profitable, ADT is growing earning organically and through acquisitions, improving operational metrics, de-levering and reducing interest expenses. Based on my estimates the company will likely be profitable in 2019. But saying that, this remains a very competitive business and with ADT's debt load it must continue to execute well. However, the company has set the groundwork for future growth and profitability. Furthermore, ADT is undervalued and has a 56% - 71% upside, even after discounting the revenue multiple compared to a direct competitor by 50%. Hence, I am a buyer of this stock and have added to my position.

Disclosure: I am/we are long ADT. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Thursday, March 28, 2019

Top Canadian Stocks To Invest In 2019

tags:TRP,III,PPL,MMM,

There may be a technical reason for the magnitude of the rally in Canadian pot producer Tilray, which has captured the attention of traders everywhere: It's too expensive to bet against the stock.

"There is not much stock left to borrow in this name," said Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at S3 Partners, in an email. He noted that fees for borrowing Tilray stock were ranging between 500 and 700 percent on Thursday, making it an incredibly expensive stock to short.

(Short selling is the practice of borrowing shares of stock for a fee, then selling the shares in the hope of buying them back later at a lower price.)

Tilray shares started to rip higher about a month ago. Short interest on the stock also spiked to about 3.5 million shares — approximately a third of the company's overall float — from roughly 2.5 million shares in that time, S3 Partners data show. That means more and more investors were betting against the name.

Top Canadian Stocks To Invest In 2019: Transcananda Pipelines Ltd.(TRP)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Matthew DiLallo]

    The approval of LNG Canada would trigger additional investments further upstream. One of the largest would be by TransCanada Corporation (NYSE:TRP), which would build the Coastal GasLink pipeline to supply natural gas to LNG Canada. The 415-mile pipeline would cost CA$4.8 billion ($3.7 billion). It's a needle-moving project for TransCanada and would give the company more fuel to extend its dividend growth outlook. The company expects to boost its payout at an 8% to 10% annual pace through 2021. TransCanada, as well as other midstream companies, will likely need to build additional infrastructure in Western Canada to support production growth.

  • [By Matthew DiLallo]

    TransCanada (NYSE:TRP) is in the midst of a major expansion phase, having invested a massive 10.5 billion Canadian dollars ($7.9 billion) into capital projects last year. Several of those expansions have already come on line, which helped drive strong earnings and profit growth during the third quarter. That trend should have continued during the fourth quarter, and it's one of a couple of things investors should keep an eye on when the Canadian energy infrastructure giant reports results later this week.

  • [By Matthew DiLallo]

    Aside from the oil price boost, Enbridge also got a lift from analysts. In early January, Wolfe Research upgraded the stock from peer perform to outperform, and Macquarie followed that up later in the month when it initiated coverage on the company with an outperform rating. Macquarie further noted that it prefers Enbridge over rival Canadian pipeline giant TransCanada (NYSE:TRP) because it has a "more palatable" leverage level after the company sold several assets last year to reduce debt. However, Macquarie stated that TransCanada and Enbridge have the best dividend track records and outlooks in the space, since both are on pace to grow earnings at a 10% annual rate through next year, which should support similar increases in their high-yielding dividends.

  • [By Matthew DiLallo]

    North American pipeline companies have three major pipeline projects currently under development: Trans Mountain, Enbridge's (NYSE:ENB) Line 3 Replacement, and TransCanada's (NYSE:TRP) Keystone XL. Of that trio, only Line 3 is currently under construction. Enbridge anticipates that the project will enter service in the second half of next year, bringing the pipeline's capacity back up to its original design of 760,000 barrels of oil per day (BPD), which is double its current rate. The company recently won approval to construct the line through the state of Minnesota along its preferred route and signed an agreement with a Native American group to build it through their reservation. As a result, the company remains on schedule and on budget with the project.

  • [By Zacks]

    Moreover, TransCanada Corporation (NYSE: TRP)'s $8 billion Keystone XL pipeline – expected to carry heavy crude from Alberta to refineries in the United States – is yet to get a final investment decision. The midstream company had secured 20 years commitment for 500 thousand barrels per day for the pipeline and received Alberta government's support. However, the Nebraska government sanctioned the Mainline Alternative Route for the controversial project, which is longer than the company's preferred route and has forced it to review the alternative route keeping the final decision on hold.

Top Canadian Stocks To Invest In 2019: Information Services Group Inc.(III)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Logan Wallace]

    CGI Group (NYSE: GIB) and Information Services Group (NASDAQ:III) are both computer and technology companies, but which is the better investment? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their profitability, earnings, dividends, analyst recommendations, risk, valuation and institutional ownership.

  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    3i Group (LON:III) had its price target upped by Societe Generale from GBX 1,020 ($13.58) to GBX 1,130 ($15.04) in a research note released on Thursday. The brokerage currently has a buy rating on the stock.

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    Martingale Asset Management L P bought a new position in Information Services Group, Inc. Common Stock (NASDAQ:III) during the second quarter, Holdings Channel reports. The fund bought 110,416 shares of the business services provider’s stock, valued at approximately $453,000.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on Information Services Group, Inc. Common Stock (III)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    Canaccord Genuity upgraded shares of Imperial Metals (TSE:III) from a hold rating to a buy rating in a research note published on Monday. They currently have C$4.00 price objective on the stock, up from their prior price objective of C$1.65.

Top Canadian Stocks To Invest In 2019: PPL Corporation(PPL)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Reuben Gregg Brewer]

    Too many investors shun boring stocks, particularly if their biggest allure is slow and steady dividend growth. That pretty much describes utilities like Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE:DUK), Dominion Energy, Inc. (NYSE:D), and PPL Corporation (NYSE:PPL). However, with all three offering yields that are more than twice what you can get from an S&P 500 Index fund and sporting solid prospects for continued (albeit slow) dividend growth no matter what happens in the stock market, they might provide the diversification you need as the broader market averages hit fresh all-time highs. Here's why you can count on these three dividend stocks, even if the market pulls back.

  • [By ]

    2) Review your goals. Are you retired and managing your portfolio for income and realize you're loaded up with low- to no-yield growth stocks? It's time to make some adjustments. As the second half of the year encounters choppier waters, many equity strategists have recommended reducing risk by pivoting toward more defensive stocks in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, utilities, and consumer staples. Some great names that are currently trading at attractive levels include health care giant Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), power producer PPL Corp (NYSE: PPL) and food giant General Mills (NYSE: GIS). Weighted equally, all three yield an average of 4.3% and trade with a forward PE of just 14.17.

  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Maple Capital Management Inc. reduced its stake in shares of PPL Co. (NYSE:PPL) by 5.8% in the 1st quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 143,059 shares of the utilities provider’s stock after selling 8,754 shares during the quarter. Maple Capital Management Inc.’s holdings in PPL were worth $4,047,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    PPL (NYSE:PPL) and IDACORP (NYSE:IDA) are both utilities companies, but which is the superior investment? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their institutional ownership, dividends, earnings, risk, valuation, profitability and analyst recommendations.

Top Canadian Stocks To Invest In 2019: 3M Company(MMM)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Paul Ausick]

    The second-worst Dow stock so far this year is Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT), which is down 10.3%. That is followed by 3M Co. (NYSE: MMM), down 9.7%, Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX), down 8.5%, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS), down 8.2%. Of the 30 Dow stocks, 14 are showing a loss to date in 2018.

  • [By ]

    Selected examples: (AAL) , (CL) , (DRI) , (HAL) , (LUV) , (MCD) , (MMM) , (SBUX) . Darden and 3M are holdings in Jim Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS.

    What Trade War?

    Notes Goldman: "Firms expressed optimism that trade conflict would be resolved. Commentary emphasized the support for a free trade environment. Company management did not expect the disputes would escalate and affect global economic growth."

  • [By Chris Neiger]

    That's why it's important to think about adding some dividend stocks to your retirement portfolio so that you can not only receive some additional income but also build wealth at the same time. To help you get started, let's take a look at why three very different companies -- 3M (NYSE:MMM), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), American Tower (NYSE:AMT) -- could be great long-term investments for your retirement.

  • [By Paul Ausick]

    The DJIA stock posting the largest daily percentage gain ahead of the close Monday was 3M Company (NYSE: MMM) which traded up 3.23% at $244.68. The stock’s 52-week range is $86.31 to $259.77. Volume was about 25% lower than the daily average of around 2.4 million. The company had no specific news Monday.

Tuesday, March 26, 2019

Three "Best in Breed" Stocks for Fast, Bullish Profits

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Chris JohnsonChris Johnson

On Friday, I published three picks for you that I think will yield market-crushing returns in a hurry.

What could be better than three winners?

How about three more winners…

My "Best in Breed" stock screener has picked out the top performers in a market that, as of today, is growing stronger by the minute.

This is the perfect way to tap all the bullish power the stock market is offering us right now, with none of the guesswork.

Let's take a look…

Join the conversation. Click here to jump to comments…

Chris JohnsonChris Johnson

About the Author

Browse Chris's articles | View Chris's research services

Chris Johnson is a quant - he's obsessed with building and perfecting mathematical models that allow him to predict, with startling accuracy, the direction of the markets, entire sectors, and individual securities. For the last year, he's been researching and building a new system that lets him move swiftly in and out of the hottest stocks in the market for life-changing gains - entirely on his own terms. The results of his newly-minted Night Trader system are nothing short of amazing.

Chris also contributes to Money Morning as the Quant Analysis Specialist.

… Read full bio

Monday, March 25, 2019

Why You Should Sell Aurora Cannabis Stock Before It Reaches New Highs

Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) almost appears unstoppable. As a result, ACB stock has achieved highs not seen since before marijuana gained official legal status in Canada. Hemp legalization in the United States and the market’s move higher have lifted both Aurora Cannabis and the stock of its peers.

Why You Should Sell Aurora Cannabis Stock Before It Reaches New HighsWhy You Should Sell Aurora Cannabis Stock Before It Reaches New HighsSource: Shutterstock

However, this move higher has occurred despite Aurora making no moves into the U.S. hemp market. Moreover, ACB stock trades close to levels it saw before it started falling in October, portending a possible double top in the equity.

Considering the stock price and other factors, investors should probably avoid Aurora Cannabis stock at these levels.

A Rising Market, U.S. Hemp Has Reignited Cannabis Stocks

Investors can find a lot to like about ACB stock. The company reported revenue growth of 387% in its last quarterly report. Moreover, its investments place it on track to become the largest producer in the industry by next year.

This may help explain why ACB stock has more than doubled from the $4.58 per share low the equity reached on Dec. 24. The overall market began a recovery at that time. Still, the U.S. government also signed a farm bill into law that granted legal status to hemp. Thus, Aurora and its peers not only gained access to the U.S. market, but they also benefit from a reignited boom in marijuana stocks.

However, this boom is occurring south of the Canadian border in a country with nearly ten times the population. Moreover, reticence about cannabis remains in some parts of the U.S. Interestingly, this may help cannabis stocks as it will delay a potential “sell the news” event comparable to the stock swoon marijuana stocks saw following Canadian legalization.

Now trading at just under $10 per share, it is now approaching the $12.52 per share high it achieved right before marijuana achieved full legal status across Canada.

The Current ACB Stock Price Should Cause Concern

Valuation offers little help when evaluating ACB stock. ACB trades at more than 80 times sales, and full-year profitability will not come until at least next year. However, that comes in lower than its largest peers: Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC), Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) and Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON).

However, ACB looks cheap only on a comparative basis. Also, high valuations could still influence ACB stock indirectly. So far, the stock has only traded above the $10 per share level for two weeks of its history. As the stock approaches its record high, investors could start to question the valuation. If I were to buy ACB, I would also want to know that the $12.52 level of last October is not a double top.

Also, ACB’s expansion outside of Canada appears perplexing. The company reported revenues of C$2.9 million ($2.17 million) outside of Canada. It has also expanded into 24 countries across five continents. However, even though it legally can, it has so far chosen not to follow its peers into the U.S. hemp market.


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Moreover, ACB has relied heavily on stock dilution to fund its expansion. With the company reporting losses and the stock trading at over 80 times sales, I can hardly blame the company for issuing stock to support its expansion. However, it reduces the incentive to pay high multiples.

The Bottom Line on Aurora Cannabis Stock

Amid the recent rally, investors should probably avoid ACB stock at its current levels. Despite my view on ACB stock, Aurora continues to improve its market position. As a result of expansions, it may lead the industry in production by next year. Also, between massive revenue increases and the growth potential of the world cannabis market, one can understand why Aurora Cannabis stock trades at a premium.

However, ACB has spent very little of its history trading at or above current levels. To achieve significant growth, traders need to know that the equity is not forming a double top. Moreover, stock dilution has funded much of the company’s expansion. This has likely hampered growth in ACB stock. Furthermore, it seems strange that Aurora Cannabis has not followed its peers into the U.S. hemp market. I expect the company to enter the U.S. at some point. Still, the fact that it will lag its peers in such a large market should concern investors.

Given the moves to lead its peers in capacity and foreign expansion, I expect Aurora Cannabis to remain one of the more important companies in the industry for a long time to come. However, at current levels, I see more reasons for ACB stock to move down than up.

As of this writing, Will Healy did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can follow Will on Twitter

Friday, March 22, 2019

UK Defensive Stock: Time To Buy?

&l;p&g;&l;img class=&q;dam-image bloomberg size-large wp-image-42656673&q; src=&q;https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/dam/imageserve/42656673/960x0.jpg?fit=scale&q; data-height=&q;640&q; data-width=&q;960&q;&g; A model of a Tempest, U.K.&s;s new fighter jet, sits on display on the BAE Systems Plc stand on day two of the Farnborough International Airshow (FIA) 2018 in Farnborough, U.K., on Tuesday, July 17, 2018. The air show, a biannual showcase for the aviation industry, runs until July 22. Photographer: Mary Turner/Bloomberg

Update on Previous Stock Review Articles in 2019 by Samuel Leach

&l;/p&g;&l;ol&g;&l;li&g;Kier Group + 16% (Date of article 7 Jan)&l;/li&g;

&l;li&g;Jupiter Fund Management + 16.5% + Dividends due in April (Date of article 14 Jan)&l;/li&g;

&l;li&g;London Stock Exchange + 14.33% (Date of article 7 Jan)&l;/li&g;

&l;li&g;Unilever + 2.85% (Date of article 7 Jan)&l;/li&g;

&l;li&g;FlyBe + 25% (Date of article 28 Jan)&l;/li&g;

&l;/ol&g;

Looking at the stock market currently, the FTSE100 has recently broken out of the short term range with price currently at 7,340, as a result of a 4 day rally. We have Brexit currently grinding to a halt after the Speaker John Bercow not allowing the Government to present May&a;rsquo;s European Union withdrawal agreement to the House again unless that deal substantially different from the first 2 times it was voted down. Nonetheless, we are seeing the potential of a delay of Brexit with some experts quoting a potential delay of over 8 months.

I will be exploring an interesting FTSE100 stock that could be potentially at a turning point to the upside. BAE Systems operates as a defence, aerospace, and security company worldwide. It&s;s Electronic Systems segment offers electronic warfare systems and electro-optical sensors, military and commercial digital engine and flight controls and many more. Currently, BAE Systems is trading&a;nbsp; 40% below it&a;rsquo;s 2018 August highs of 680.00p, whilst since the start of 2019 the stock is up 7% at 487.50. This could potentially be the start of a bull run but let&s;s crunch the numbers for this stock.

Looking into the intrinsic value of the stock we can see that the current share price is &a;pound;4.87 and the future cash flow value sits at &a;pound;8.55. This gives a staggering 43% current discount based on the intrinsic calculation of BAE Systems. Secondly, we can see that the PE ratio is currently 15.5x which is below the Aerospace and Defense average of 19.4x and with expected annual growth of 11.3% in annual earnings I feel this stock has upside potential. Investors who are buying the stock in the next 29 days up to the 18&l;sup&g;th&l;/sup&g; of April will be receiving a tidy 4.57% dividend as well on top of the upside potential.

Looking at the broker ratings we have seen 5 major broker ratings since February with two coming in March. The overall analysis is a buy rating with brokers predicting a future price between 530.00p and 600.00p. On the most recent rating on the 5&l;sup&g;th&l;/sup&g; of March we had Goldman Sachs keeping their rating as a &a;ldquo;Buy&a;rdquo; and updated their target to 588.00p, Deutsche Bank reiterating a &a;ldquo;Buy&a;rdquo; rating and on the 22&l;sup&g;nd&l;/sup&g; of February, we had Credit Suisse Reiterating an &a;ldquo; Outperform&a;rdquo; rating with a target of 600.00p.&a;nbsp; After my deep dive analysis on BAE Systems, we have some very exciting pros for the stock summarised below.

Summary Benefits:

&l;ul&g;&l;li&g;Overall Buy Broker Rating Targets between 530.00 &a;ndash; 600.00p&l;/li&g; &l;li&g;Intrinsic Value currently sat at a 43% discount&l;/li&g; &l;li&g;40% off its 2018 highs&l;/li&g; &l;li&g;FTSE 100 stock&l;/li&g; &l;li&g;Trading below sector P/E Ratio average&l;/li&g; &l;li&g;11.3% predicted in annual earnings&l;/li&g; &l;li&g;57% dividend yield&l;/li&g; &l;/ul&g;

I will be looking to add BAE Systems to my stock watchlist and keep an eye on this exciting FTSE 100 stock.

Wednesday, March 20, 2019

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019

tags:MITL,COB,M,TGNA,FLIC,DRIO,CPIX,BOH,SMPQY,IGF,

The Indian stock market are trading in the red this Tuesday morning with the Nifty50 down 15 points and is trading at 11,362 while the Sensex is trading lower by 26 points at 37,559.

PSU banks are underperforming, with the index down over 3 percent dragged by Bank of Baroda, Andhra Bank, Canara Bank, Bank of India, OBC, State Bank of India and Union Bank of India.

FMCG stocks are up led by Dabur India, Hindustan Unilever, Godrej Consumer, Marico, Jubilant Foodworks, Britannia Industries and United Breweries.

The top gainers from the pharma space includes names like Cipla, Dr Reddy's Labs, Divis Labs, Glenmark Pharma and Sun Pharmaceutical Industries.

related news Infosys down 1% after company loses arbitration, to pay Rs 12.17cr to former CFO PSU banks correct sharply after govt announces merger of Vijaya Bank, Dena Bank and BoB

The top 10 gainers include names like Hindustan Unilever which jumped 3 percent followed by Dr Reddy's Labs, YES Bank, Titan Company and Oil & Natural Gas Corporation.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: Mitel Networks Corporation(MITL)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lisa Levin] Gainers Check-Cap Ltd. (NASDAQ: CHEK) shares jumped 104.82 percent to close at $14.87 on Tuesday. EVINE Live Inc. (NASDAQ: EVLV) rose 31.25 percent to close at $1.06. The pay-TV home shopping company was named as a potential acquisition target by TechCrunch. According to the publication, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is exploring ways of marketing its products and services to consumers beyond the internet. SemiLEDs Corporation (NASDAQ: LEDS) shares climbed 27.16 percent to close at $4.26 on Tuesday. Atossa Genetics Inc. (NASDAQ: ATOS) gained 27.09 percent to close at $3.80. Atossa Genetics disclosed that it has Received positive interim review from the Independent Safety Committee in Phase 1 Topical endoxifen dose escalation study in men. Heidrick & Struggles International, Inc. (NASDAQ: HSII) surged 17.13 percent to close at $37.95 as the company posted upbeat results for its first quarter. Santander Consumer USA Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SC) shares gained 15.91 percent to close at $18.21 following upbeat quarterly earnings. Riot Blockchain, Inc. (NASDAQ: RIOT) shares jumped 15.73 percent to close at $7.58 on Tuesday after declining 1.50 percent on Monday. Sanmina Corp (NASDAQ: SANM) shares gained 14.62 percent to close at $31.75 as the company reported stronger-than-expected earnings for its second quarter on Monday. Orchids Paper Products Company (NYSE: TIS) jumped 12.86 percent to close at $7.37. Orchids Paper Products is expected to report its Q1 financial results on Wednesday, April 25, 2018. Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (NYSE: HLX) rose 12.8 percent to close at $7.05 following strong quarterly results. Avid Bioservices, Inc. (NASDAQ: CDMO) rose 12.72 percent to close at $3.81. Genprex, Inc. (NASDAQ: GNPX) gained 12.61 percent to close at $5.00. Obalon Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: OBLN) rose 12.39 percent to close at $3.72. NextDecade Corporation (NASDAQ: NEXT) shares climbed 11.88 percent to close at $7
  • [By Max Byerly]

    Commscope (NASDAQ:COMM) and Mitel Networks (NASDAQ:MITL) are both computer and technology companies, but which is the superior business? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their institutional ownership, analyst recommendations, earnings, valuation, profitability, risk and dividends.

  • [By Max Byerly]

    GAM Holding AG bought a new position in shares of Mitel Networks Corp (NASDAQ:MITL) (TSE:MNW) during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The institutional investor bought 245,367 shares of the communications equipment provider’s stock, valued at approximately $2,692,000. GAM Holding AG owned approximately 0.20% of Mitel Networks at the end of the most recent reporting period.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: CommunityOne Bancorp(COB)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Cobinhood (CURRENCY:COB) traded 6.8% higher against the U.S. dollar during the 1 day period ending at 7:00 AM ET on June 19th. One Cobinhood token can now be purchased for approximately $0.0409 or 0.00000607 BTC on major cryptocurrency exchanges including Mercatox, EtherDelta (ForkDelta) and Cobinhood. Cobinhood has a total market cap of $14.88 million and approximately $13,374.00 worth of Cobinhood was traded on exchanges in the last day. During the last seven days, Cobinhood has traded down 13.9% against the U.S. dollar.

  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Cobinhood (CURRENCY:COB) traded up 12.3% against the U.S. dollar during the 24-hour period ending at 12:00 PM Eastern on October 13th. During the last week, Cobinhood has traded 0.4% higher against the U.S. dollar. Cobinhood has a total market cap of $10.06 million and $24,249.00 worth of Cobinhood was traded on exchanges in the last day. One Cobinhood token can currently be bought for approximately $0.0268 or 0.00000430 BTC on cryptocurrency exchanges including Cobinhood and Mercatox.

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Cobinhood (CURRENCY:COB) traded up 1.6% against the dollar during the 1 day period ending at 17:00 PM ET on September 3rd. During the last seven days, Cobinhood has traded up 13.8% against the dollar. One Cobinhood token can now be purchased for approximately $0.0354 or 0.00000486 BTC on major cryptocurrency exchanges including Mercatox and Cobinhood. Cobinhood has a total market capitalization of $13.14 million and $26,663.00 worth of Cobinhood was traded on exchanges in the last day.

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    Cobinhood (CURRENCY:COB) traded up 4.7% against the U.S. dollar during the 1 day period ending at 23:00 PM Eastern on May 16th. One Cobinhood token can currently be purchased for approximately $0.0862 or 0.00001024 BTC on exchanges including Mercatox, Cobinhood and EtherDelta (ForkDelta). During the last week, Cobinhood has traded 9.9% lower against the U.S. dollar. Cobinhood has a total market capitalization of $31.24 million and $16,592.00 worth of Cobinhood was traded on exchanges in the last day.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: Macy's Inc(M)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Timothy Green]

    Shares of The Gap Inc. (NYSE:GPS) tumbled on Wednesday along with other apparel retailer stocks. While positive retail sales data from the U.S. Census Bureau painted a rosy picture for clothing sellers, the severe negative reaction to Macy's (NYSE:M) second-quarter report seems to be knocking down other retailers. Gap stock was down about 5.1% at 3:45 p.m. EDT.

  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Other than the Target plan, the largest plans announced to date are Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M), which aims to hire 80,000 seasonal workers, and FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX), which intends to hire 55,000.

  • [By Adam Levine-Weinberg]

    Last week, shares of Macy's (NYSE:M) topped the $40 mark for the first time since late 2016. This marked the culmination of a massive comeback for Macy's stock, which bottomed at less than $18 in early November. In fact, shares of the department store giant traded for less than $30 just a month ago.

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. lessened its stake in shares of Macy’s Inc (NYSE:M) by 24.5% in the 2nd quarter, HoldingsChannel.com reports. The institutional investor owned 24,001 shares of the company’s stock after selling 7,778 shares during the period. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.’s holdings in Macy’s were worth $898,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.

  • [By ]

    Back in March, I outlined my reasons for loving Macy's (NYSE: M) stock for a long-term portfolio. Entering on a break out of $30.00 per share, the original call panned out to be a solid winner with shares surging to just a smidge below our March 2018 price target of $42.00 per share.  Next, I confidently upped the price target to $50.00 per share.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: TEGNA Inc.(TGNA)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Max Byerly]

    Sei Investments Co. boosted its stake in shares of TEGNA Inc. (NYSE:TGNA) by 21.8% during the 2nd quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 363,998 shares of the company’s stock after buying an additional 65,120 shares during the quarter. Sei Investments Co.’s holdings in TEGNA were worth $3,950,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    Sinclair Broadcast Group (NASDAQ: SBGI) and GANNETT CO INC. Common Stock (NYSE:TGNA) are both mid-cap consumer discretionary companies, but which is the superior stock? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their valuation, risk, profitability, institutional ownership, dividends, earnings and analyst recommendations.

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Shares of TEGNA Inc. (NYSE:TGNA) have received an average rating of “Hold” from the fifteen ratings firms that are presently covering the stock, Marketbeat Ratings reports. Three research analysts have rated the stock with a sell recommendation, five have issued a hold recommendation and five have issued a buy recommendation on the company. The average twelve-month target price among brokers that have updated their coverage on the stock in the last year is $15.10.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: The First of Long Island Corporation(FLIC)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    1ST RES BK EXTO/SH (OTCMKTS:FRSB) and First of Long Island (NASDAQ:FLIC) are both small-cap finance companies, but which is the superior stock? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their earnings, valuation, dividends, profitability, institutional ownership, analyst recommendations and risk.

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    First of Long Island (NASDAQ:FLIC) and 1ST RES BK EXTO/SH (OTCMKTS:FRSB) are both small-cap finance companies, but which is the better business? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their dividends, institutional ownership, profitability, earnings, analyst recommendations, valuation and risk.

  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on First of Long Island (FLIC)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    COPYRIGHT VIOLATION WARNING: “First of Long Island Corp (FLIC) Position Trimmed by ClariVest Asset Management LLC” was originally posted by Ticker Report and is the property of of Ticker Report. If you are reading this article on another domain, it was illegally copied and republished in violation of United States and international copyright law. The legal version of this article can be accessed at https://www.tickerreport.com/banking-finance/4167612/first-of-long-island-corp-flic-position-trimmed-by-clarivest-asset-management-llc.html.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: DarioHealth Corp. (DRIO)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Max Byerly]

    Teleflex (NYSE:TFX) and DarioHealth (NASDAQ:DRIO) are both medical companies, but which is the superior investment? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their dividends, valuation, earnings, analyst recommendations, institutional ownership, profitability and risk.

  • [By Lisa Levin]

    DarioHealth Corp. (NASDAQ: DRIO) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.19 per share on revenue of $1.74 million.

    CPI Aerostructures, Inc. (NYSE: CVU) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.1 per share on revenue of $18.50 million.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.(CPIX)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Max Byerly]

    COPYRIGHT VIOLATION NOTICE: “Cumberland Pharmaceuticals (CPIX) Research Coverage Started at B. Riley” was originally posted by Ticker Report and is the property of of Ticker Report. If you are reading this report on another domain, it was copied illegally and republished in violation of US and international copyright & trademark legislation. The legal version of this report can be accessed at https://www.tickerreport.com/banking-finance/3364464/cumberland-pharmaceuticals-cpix-research-coverage-started-at-b-riley.html.

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    JW Asset Management LLC cut its stake in Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:CPIX) by 32.2% in the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 178,942 shares of the specialty pharmaceutical company’s stock after selling 84,939 shares during the period. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals comprises about 1.2% of JW Asset Management LLC’s holdings, making the stock its 16th largest holding. JW Asset Management LLC owned about 1.14% of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals worth $1,195,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: Bank of Hawaii Corporation(BOH)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on Bank of Hawaii (BOH)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    New Mexico Educational Retirement Board lowered its position in shares of Bank of Hawaii Co. (NYSE:BOH) by 15.4% during the 2nd quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor owned 9,900 shares of the bank’s stock after selling 1,800 shares during the quarter. New Mexico Educational Retirement Board’s holdings in Bank of Hawaii were worth $826,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.

  • [By Max Byerly]

    Summit Financial Group (NYSE: BOH) and Bank of Hawaii (NYSE:BOH) are both finance companies, but which is the better stock? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their valuation, profitability, dividends, analyst recommendations, institutional ownership, earnings and risk.

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    Bank of Hawaii (NYSE:BOH) was upgraded by analysts at ValuEngine from a sell rating to a hold rating.

    ChemoCentryx (NASDAQ:CCXI) was upgraded by analysts at ValuEngine from a hold rating to a buy rating.

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: (SMPQY)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By ]

    I studied the management running the company and found fantastic professionals coming from large institutions like Novartis AG (NYSE:NVS), Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries (OTCPK:SMPQY), AstraZeneca Group plc (NYSE:AZN), or Endo International plc (NASDAQ:ENDP).

Top 10 Performing Stocks To Own For 2019: iShares Global Infrastructure (IGF)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    First Allied Advisory Services Inc. trimmed its position in shares of iShares S&P Global Infrastructure Index (BMV:IGF) by 28.6% during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 8,883 shares of the company’s stock after selling 3,560 shares during the quarter. First Allied Advisory Services Inc.’s holdings in iShares S&P Global Infrastructure Index were worth $380,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    Camelot Portfolios LLC lowered its position in iShares S&P Global Infrastructure Index (BMV:IGF) by 9.1% in the 4th quarter, HoldingsChannel.com reports. The institutional investor owned 23,579 shares of the company’s stock after selling 2,365 shares during the quarter. Camelot Portfolios LLC’s holdings in iShares S&P Global Infrastructure Index were worth $929,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.

  • [By Sarah Priestley]

    And if you are an investor who prefers ETFs and mutual funds, there are a couple of options for you: iShares Global Infrastructure ETF (NASDAQ:IGF), and Lazard Global Listed Infrastructure (NASDAQMUTFUND:GLIFX). I would caution anybody to check the percentage of utilities that are within these baskets, just to check the utilities exposure. But, generally, not bad options to check out.

Tuesday, March 19, 2019

MongoDB Is Officially Disrupting Databases

The world's data is changing. Social networks, e-commerce sites, and the Internet of Things are now providing text strings, web logs, and other forms of unstructured information that is collected from a variety of inputs.

Appropriately, the world's need for databases is also changing. MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB) is helping companies capture these new data sets, with general-purpose databases providing a more flexible and open-source way for developers to harness information to create business-specific applications.

MongoDB has been one of the market's best recent performers. Its stock increased in value by 182% in 2018 and is already up 64% year to date in 2019.

Will the good times continue to roll? Can the company possibly maintain this incredible momentum? To answer these questions, let's take a closer look at its recently reported fourth-quarter results.

A picture of several employees gathered around a laptop

Image source: Getty Images.

MongoDB results: The raw numbers Metric Fiscal Q4 2019 Fiscal Q4 2018 Year-Over-Year Change
Revenue $85.5 million $50.0 million 71%
Operating income ($23.8 million) ($20.9 million) N/A
Adjusted earnings per share ($0.17) ($0.27) N/A

Data source: MongoDB. Mongo adopted the new ASC 606 accounting standard in 2019, which may affect annual comparisons.

What happened with MongoDB this quarter?

MongoDB's expanding relationship with existing customers and mass-market appeal with new ones is causing its top line to surge:

Revenue grew 71% to $85.5 million, driven by a 73% increase in subscription revenue to $80.6 million. The growth rate of the company's top line actually accelerated over the previous quarter, when revenue grew 57%. Gross margin was 70%, down 500 basis points from 75% in the fourth quarter of last year. Atlas -- MongoDB's database-as-a-service offering -- grew revenue by more than 400% over last year. Atlas now accounts for 32% of total revenue, compared to only 10% a year ago and 21% a quarter ago. Overall, MongoDB now has 13,400 customers, 130% more than it had a year ago. Atlas has 11,400 customers, though 4,200 of them came directly from the November acquisition of mLab. Notably, 557 customers (4% of the total) contribute at least $100,000 of annual recurring revenue. This is up from 354 six-figure customers in the year-ago period. The company's net annual recurring revenue expansion rate, which compares subscription revenue today to revenue from the same customers one year ago, was above 120% for the 16th consecutive quarter. What management had to say

While the quarterly results were very good, President and CEO Dev Ittycheria focused for much of the conference call on his company's prospects:

Our goal is to maximize the massive market opportunity in front of us. We believe our wide appeal, the success of our customers and our financial performance continue to clearly highlight that MongoDB's document database offers the best way to work with data.

Documents correspond directly to objects and mainstream object oriented programming languages, so developers can store and organize data according to the natural relationships among entities in the real world. This enables developers to focus on building applications the way it makes the most sense, not on working around the limitations of their database.

Our document-based architecture addresses a broad range of popular data models, enabling a wide variety of use cases. As a result, MongoDB is experiencing accelerating adoption with developers.

The total number of MongoDB downloads from our website alone is now more than 60 million with more than 20 million occurred in the last 12 months, up from more than 12 million in fiscal 2018.

Looking forward

Investors will immediately notice that Atlas has been on fire. Atlas is quintupling its revenue contribution every year, which is impressive in and of itself. But it is also organically adding 1,000 new customers every quarter. This serves as fairly compelling evidence that its cloud-based, open-source solution is winning customers over from Oracle's (NYSE:ORCL) proprietary and on-premise relational databases. In other words, the value offered to customers by Atlas is now great enough for them to abandon their current provider. In investor parlance, this is known as "overcoming switching costs," and it can often provide a very powerful tailwind.

The 60 million MongoDB downloads are equally impressive. A download doesn't necessarily equate to a paying customer, but it does suggest a potential interest. There are only an estimated 25 million professional developers across the world. So this huge number means that non-professionals (i.e., small businesses) are curious enough about Mongo's products to begin to experiment. If even just 2% of the number of people who downloaded were to convert, the company would have more than 1 million customers. In other words, Mongo's 13,000 current customers could be just a drop in a much larger bucket.

MongoDB once again lost money on both an operating and net basis, but that doesn't appear to be concerning. Its $460 million of cash and short-term investments should be able to fund business operations at their current level for several years, while also supporting its investment in its growth opportunity.

Management expects $363 million to $371 million in revenue and a net loss of $0.98 to $1.06 per share for fiscal 2020. If achieved, that would be 37% top-line growth and an improvement from a net loss of $1.90 per share during fiscal 2019.

Monday, March 18, 2019

Legg Mason Inc (LM) Q3 2019 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Legg Mason Inc  (NYSE:LM)Q3 2019 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 04, 2019, 5:00 p.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the Legg Mason Third Fiscal Quarter 2019 Earnings Call. My name is Michelle, and I will be your operator for today's conference. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. (Operator Instructions) Please note that this conference is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Alan Magleby, Head of Investor Relations. Thank you Mr. Magleby, you may begin.

Alan Magleby -- Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Michelle. On behalf of Legg Mason, I would like to welcome you to our conference call to discuss operating results for the fiscal 2019 third quarter ended December 31st, 2018.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are not statements of facts or guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the statements. For a discussion of these risks and uncertainties, please see Risk Factors and Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in the company's annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended March 31st, 2018, and in the company's subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

During today's call, we may also discuss non-GAAP financial information. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial information to the comparable GAAP financial information can be found in the press release that we issued this afternoon which is available in the Investor Relations section of our website. The company undertakes no obligation to update the information contained in this presentation to reflect subsequently occurring events or circumstances.

Today's call will include remarks from Mr. Joe Sullivan, Legg Mason's Chairman and CEO; and Mr. Pete Nachtwey, Legg Mason's CFO, who will discuss our financial results. In addition, following a review of the company's quarter, we will then open the call to Q&A.

Now I would like to turn this call over to Mr. Joe Sullivan. Joe?

Joseph A. Sullivan -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Al. Good evening, and thank you for joining us. We appreciate your continued interest in Legg Mason. With me tonight as always is Pete Nachtwey, our CFO. These are certainly turbulent times, shifting dynamics in foreign relations and global trade policies, the political stalemates of another possible US government shutdown, varying potential Brexit outcomes and evolving monetary policy. The list of major market drivers is certainly long and the result is rising market volatility and increasing investor uncertainty.

Against this backdrop, we firmly believe that active management should always play a critical role in portfolios and now even more so during times of market turbulence. At the core of this belief is the value of thoughtful diversification be at across a portfolio of securities or funds or a portfolio of investment managers, such diversification can mitigate risk and volatility and ultimately enhance returns over time. And we believe this quarter highlighted many of the benefits that diversification brings to Legg Mason.

Now as you all know the S&P 500 Index suffered its second worst December on record declining just over 9%. And for the quarter, the S&P 500 was down 14% and the Russell 2000 was down over 20%. But in contrast, the Barclays Agg finished up 1.6%, reflecting a somewhat late but distinct modification in tone from the Fed and a change in the expectation of future rate hikes. During this time, fourth quarter industry flow metrics were extremely weak in the US with $313 billion of net outflows from US active mutual funds, the largest ever on record.

And just for the sake of comparison, at the height of the financial crisis in 2008, outflows were two-thirds of that number at $195 billion. Yet, Legg Mason's total AUM declined less than 4% for the quarter, reinforcing the benefit of our diversification across asset classes, distribution channels, geographies and affiliates.

Moving on to our retail distribution platform, perhaps somewhat counter intuitively in the midst of such a challenging market environment, our gross sales were up quarter-over-quarter and we achieved modest market share gains, as some of our distribution partners continued to rationalize managers and reallocate assets amid the market's volatility.

We also benefited from our channel and geographic diversification. We continue to see retail channel momentum with positive net sales in Australia, Japan and DCIO in the US. And the diversification of our business continues to create opportunities to grow as we begin 2019, particularly when combined with improving performance in the critical three and five year time frames. Our managers generally viewed the volatility in December as a correction that was long overdue and one that created opportunities for investment out performance. To that point, ClearBridge and Royce saw strong improvements in performance as market leadership and sectors shifted and broadened.

More recently, Western's performance has also improved, as their macro call on slow and steady global growth, very modest inflation, gradual rate increases and opportunity in the emerging markets seems to be playing out. Client interest and activity in terms of searches and RFPs has increased during this volatile period, reflecting the breadth and diversity of our investment strategies and vehicles. Against a backdrop of significant active equity outflows, seven strategies that ClearBridge generated net inflows for the quarter led by international strategies.

EnTrustPermal's coinvestment and direct lending businesses continue to gain traction and Clarion was again in net inflows for the quarter, the seventh consecutive positive net flow quarter. Further, we continue to believe significant growth opportunity exists in the customized investments solution space, where we are investing QS and in technology that will enable greater connectivity between the proprietary asset allocation tools of QS and the entire Legg Mason and affiliate organization. We expect this investment will enhance our solutions capabilities and our ability to leverage our affiliates to provide more comprehensive and customized solutions for our clients.

Our diversification by vehicle also continues to create opportunity for us. CIT vehicles long used to serve the retirement market are increasingly attractive to public pensions that need the reporting attributes of a commingled vehicle and which value their transparency and cost efficiency.

Martin Currie, recently seeded an emerging market equity strategy CIT with $400 million from an existing pension client, who wanted a better solution to access emerging market equities. This new CIT is in addition to the strategies existing mutual fund and SMA structures providing an expanding suite of emerging market vehicles. And staying with the vehicle theme, we are pleased to have launched the first active fixed income ETF in Australia in partnership with Western and BetaShares. Investors in Australia are broadly under allocated to fixed income, and this ETF gives retail investor there easier access to new income possibilities via the Australian Securities Exchange. Clearly, the quarter was difficult but we certainly continue to make substantial progress on a variety of fronts.

And now I'd like to share an important update on the next steps in our collaborative efforts. For some time, we have highlighted the evolving needs and expectations of clients and how Legg Mason broadly has embraced a fresh enterprisewide mindset of collaboration to transform the way we operate and serve clients. We deeply value our independent investment expertise and we recognize the need and opportunity to deliver even better results for clients by increasingly leveraging the breadth and scale of the enterprise. We have previously mentioned how we began our collaborative work in the areas of procurement and the creation of a consolidated financial platform, both of which are well under way.

Through this insight -- through the insight and the confidence gained from these ongoing collaborations, we are now prepared to take a bolder step forward with the creation of a new global operating platform which will make us even more effective. This platform will capitalize on our combined operational scale and the related synergies across operations, technology, fund administration, finance, real estate, human resources, legal and compliance, enterprise risk management and other corporate services at Legg Mason and certain of our affiliates. The platform in our view will enhance services to both internal and external clients, expand business investment capital, create a framework for innovation and increase profitability, which will benefit all stakeholders.

Specific cost savings initiatives include, consolidated financial and benefits systems, technology sharing across the enterprise and the elimination of duplicative support services. We will be able to better leverage specific affiliate proficiencies around the globe. And let me share some examples of that with you. Across Legg Mason, we are undertaking technology innovation initiatives on a modest scale from robotic technology to streamline accounts payable and AI that accelerates response times for cyber threats, to predictive analytics that anticipate advisor needs by combining flow, sales and marketing data and machine learning to enhance product commentary. All of this and more can make us more nimble, more efficient, more effective and more responsive to clients, if we scale them across our businesses.

Now to be clear, we are not just making short term cost cuts in response to a challenging market, rather, we are creating permanent structural changes that will result in greater effectiveness and enduring efficiencies. As we build this new business platform, we expect to realize $90 million to $110 million in annual savings, creating synergies that will free up capital to improve our operating margin and ultimately allow us more flexibility to invest in growth. And finally, we project implementation costs associated with these synergies to be between $130 million and $150 million. Now that we've made our plans public, we'll be able to work internally with greater transparency to better refine the timing of savings and the related costs which we will continue to share with you beginning next quarter.

I want to emphasize that as our clients preferences evolve and the industry continues to change, we will continue to innovate around the multi-affiliate model, as we increasingly come together when and if it makes sense for our clients, shareholders and employees while preserving the hallmark of Legg Mason, the independence of our investment expertise. We intend to stay laser focused on the development of this platform as we make ongoing progress in leveraging our scale and becoming increasingly efficient, all of which is focused on serving clients better and building a foundation of sustainable growth and profitability.

And with that, let me turn it over to Pete.

Peter H. Nachtwey -- Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Joe. Let's turn to our highlights on slide two. Legg Mason reported a net loss of $217 million or $2.55 per share driven by non-cash intangible asset impairment charges of $365 million as well as certain tax items in global operating platform development costs. These combined to reduce earnings by $3.28 per share.

As Joe noted, we're developing a new, more efficient global operating platform that will lead to $90 million to $110 million in annual savings, 85% of those savings we see being achieved over the next 24 to 36 months with the majority of those saves realized by the end of fiscal '21. The remaining 15% of the savings are related to real estate which will take a bit longer to fully realize. It's important to note that we will also incur episodic implementation costs to achieve these savings which going forward, we currently estimate to be in $130 million to $150 million range.

Moving onto AUM, our quarter-end assets under management were $727 billion, with long-term net outflows in the quarter of $8.5 billion coming from fixed income at $5.1 billion, equity at 3.3 and alternatives at $100 million. Our global distribution platform reported a slight increase in gross sales from the prior quarter. But consistent with industry trends, we saw a pick up in redemption rates that caused our net sales to become more negative. As for investment performance, 80% and 73% of AUM beat benchmarks for the three and five year periods, while 69% and 71% of AUM beat Lipper category averages for the three and five year periods respectively.

From a capital management standpoint, we paid $30 million of dividends in the quarter. And on the recognition front, Legg Mason and our three largest investment affiliates were once again named Best Places to Work in Investment Management P&I Magazine. Legg Mason was also ranked number three among capital markets companies, and then in the top quintile overall in the Forbes, JUST Capital Rankings. And finally, Western asset is sub-advising first active fixed income ETF in Australia, which as Joe mentioned, launched in early November.

Now let's take a look at our affiliates on slide three. As previously noted, our long-term net outflows in the quarter were $8.5 billion driven by fixed income and equities. Thanks to our asset -- diverse affiliate mix, AUM for the quarter was down just 4%. And you can see at the bottom of the chart that both large and small cap equity indices were down dramatically, while fixed income and real estate industries -- indices were positive which helped to stabilize our AUM versus peers in a highly volatile quarter for the equity markets. Despite the challenging market backdrop last quarter, Western and Clarion saw positive AUM growth. Western's was driven by over $10 billion in liquidity inflows, while Clarion had $900 million in positive real estate AUM flows in the quarter. Unfunded wins and committed but uncalled capital were down slightly from the prior quarter, primarily reflecting fundings, particularly in the month of October. FQ3 is seasonally our lowest quarter for unfunded wins and committed on call capital, but despite that historical fact, this quarter was our third highest quarter ever on record.

Turning to slide four, you can see that the mix of our unfunded wins and committed uncalled capital remains diverse with a little over 60% in fixed income and roughly 20% each for equities and alternatives. The $6.4 billion of unfunded wins and fixed income are spread across multiple flagship strategies and a similar diversification story holds true for the $2.3 billion of equities. Finally regarding alternatives, we are very pleased that our unfunded wins and committed uncalled capital remain strong at a combined $5.1 billion, with EnTrustPermal being the major contributor.

Slide five highlights our global distribution platform. As I mentioned earlier, negative net sales for the quarter were driven by pickup and redemptions consistent with industry trends. While as Joe noted, gross sales were slightly higher than the prior quarter. The pickup and redemption's reflected both the volatility in the markets during the quarter, as well as seasonal tax law selling at the end of the calendar year.

In terms of financial highlights on slide six, you'll note the combined impact of non-cash impairment charges, certain tax items and global operating platform development costs, reduced earnings per share by $3.28. Operating revenues decreased by $54 million or 7%, driven by lower average AUM as well as a $17 million decrease in pass through. Non-pass through performance fees were little over $5 million at the low end of the forecasted range for the quarter. We estimate the next quarters' NPT fees should be in the range of $5 million to $10 million. Also pass through performance fees of Clarion, we estimate will add another $10 millions to our GAAP revenues.

Operating expenses increased reflecting the noncash impairments, but excluding those charges, expenses were down $47 million or 8%. Our adjusted operating margin was 21.1% for the third fiscal quarter verses 23.6% in the prior quarter. This primarily reflects lower revenues as well as the global operating platform costs. In addition, our GAAP gap tax rate came in at 23%, reflecting the impact of noncash impairment charges and the other discrete tax items in the quarter. Looking forward, we expect our effective tax rate for FQ4 to come in at 27%. And our cash tax rate, excluding the noncash impairment charge was 7% for the quarter, a rate we expect will hold for the remainder of fiscal '19. Looking out further, we believe cash taxes will be in the single digits until approximately fiscal 2024, which is one year later than our previous projection.

On slide seven, you can see that AUM decreased primarily due to market declines and long term outflows. The operating revenue yield came in at 37 basis points driven by mix and markets, specifically you can see that equity AUM as a percentage of total AUM dropped to 25%, while liquidity AUM increased to 10%.

Operating expenses on slide eight, increased by $318 million due to the intangible impairment charges. Excluding those charges, again expenses were down $47 million reflecting reduced AUM and operating revenues. Higher other expenses include a professional fees of $5.9 million related to our work on the global operating platform as well as higher advertising, conference and T&E expenses in the quarter. Next quarter's operating expenses will include additional global operating platform costs of $9 million to $11 million combined of approximately $3 million in occupancy expenses and $7 million in other operating expenses.

Turning to slide nine, total comp and benefits decreased by $48 million due to decreased incentive comp and lower operating revenues. This led to our comp ratio for the quarter coming in at 54% in line with our forecasted range. Next quarter, we expect our comp ratio to increase reflecting a pickup in seasonal expenses to range for 54% to 56%. We will also have two other items hitting in fiscal Q4, including a noncash charge related to the final tranche of units being issued under the Royce Management Equity Plan. As you may recall, the Royce MEP effectively equities a portion of their team's existing revenue share. So there's no change in the percentage of revenue coming to the parent, but there is a noncash gap charge. The other item relates to an affiliate downsizing program, separate from the global operating platform that was announced to those affiliates employees today. These two items will result in charges of approximately $7 million.

On slide 10, our operating margin as adjusted decreased primarily due to the drop in revenues, but also reflects $5.9 million and costs associated with the global operating platform which reduced the adjusted operating margin by 1%. We would expect next quarters margin to be lower, reflecting the impact of seasonal comp increases as well as the increase in global operating platform costs.

Finally on slide 11, you'll see a roll forward from fiscal Q2's net income of $0.82 per share to this quarter's net loss of $2.35. Last quarter's results included a discrete tax benefit offset by real estate charge and global operating platform costs which decreased earnings per share by $0.01. This quarter's results included $0.14 of lower operating earnings, reflecting reduced revenues and increased other operating expenses. Non-operating earnings were $0.04 higher as a distribution on investment holding more than offset the impact of lower mark-to-market on seed investments. And lastly, fiscal Q3 items included the noncash impairments, net tax expense items and global operating platform development costs totaling $3.28.

So thanks again for your time this evening. And I'll now turn it back over to Joe Sullivan.

Joseph A. Sullivan -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Pete. I'd like to close our formal comments this evening with a bit of perspective. As I mentioned, we have been working on achieving greater collaboration across the enterprise for quite some time. And today's announcement is not driven by short-term market conditions, but rather informed by client expectations, industry challenges and the opportunities identified and the insights achieved through our increased collaboration. It is the natural evolution of our corporate strategy over the last five years, which now focuses on further enhancing the client experience.

We are in the process of striking a better balance between the independent expertise that we and our clients deeply value, with the operating efficiency that the industry demands.

We remain committed to our mission of investing to improve the lives of our clients, our stakeholders, our employees and our communities. And we believe that the changes we are announcing today reflect the importance of our continued commitment to put our clients first to help us achieve our mission for all of our constituents.

And with that, we'll be happy to take your questions.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) The first question in the queue comes from Robert Lee with KBW. Please proceed with your question.

Robert Lee -- KBW -- Analyst

Great, thanks. Good afternoon, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I guess, why don't we star-off with the initiatives, the cost savings initiatives and the efficiency initiatives. So first question is, Joe, as part of this three multi-parts. Number one, how is the revenue sharing arrangements with the affiliates going to evolve or change because of this and it's worth thinking of -- also try and get maybe a sense of how we should think of the pattern of costs versus savings, kind of getting the impression that maybe over the next year or so will see the implementation costs flow through at least the first part of the outflow (ph) impact earnings whether maybe later on when we start to see some of the expense saves. And I know you're going to talk about a little bit more next quarter, but just trying to get some sense of how they're going the trade -- what the trade offs will be over the coming say 18 months or so?

Joseph A. Sullivan -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Good questions, Rob. Thank you. Let me maybe provide a little high level perspective on this and then Pete, I'm going to ask you to jump in on the -- some of the other more technical questions if we can. I think at a high level, the way we think about this initiative is, really as a capital allocation question. We can continue to allocate capital efficiently across Legg Mason and the affiliates with significant operational redundancy or together we can choose to come together to create a better combined platform for less by leveraging our collective scale, that's what we're choosing to do it. And in the process, we will realize meaningful synergies, and then importantly, look to invest together those synergies to grow.

I think that, as a enterprise, we see, all of us see that the industry is changing and that in a period of significant margin pressure, more investment than ever is required, and things like technology or marketing or distribution and service and support. In our case, we're in a perverse kind of way, fortunate to have the ability to create that capital to invest without sacrificing other capabilities or quality by eliminating redundancy and redeploying that capital. So we can we can read a play that toward supporting clients better and then ultimately driving growth. So, we kind of see this as a capital allocation question. Pete, do you want to talk about the rev shares and then the timing? I think Rob asked about.

Peter H. Nachtwey -- Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Yeah, thanks again Rob for those questions. The simplest way to think about it from a rev share standpoint, it will